Wednesday, 29 June 2016
Monday, 27 June 2016
Fast start or frustration; England vs. Iceland preview
Anonymous
08:00
analytics, england, football, soccer
No comments

I maintain this; that this team that Hodgson has been putting out, and the system being deployed is the best I've seen in in my life as an England fan. It's just good to watch - it has balance, players who have a good amount of quantity - Arguably no sexy individuals who you throw on to *be* the game, but I do feel that there are some class players in the setup; Daniel Sturridge, who on form is the best English striker; Eric Dier, a player in which England may have finally found their deep-lying pivot; Danny Rose, a strong left sided defender who may be the answer to finally replace Ashley Cole - And on the right, there's a battle between Nathaniel Clyne and Kyle Walker. Couple that with the different variations possible with players like Lallana, Alli, Henderson, Rooney, Kane, Vardy and Sterling... Good problems.
So tonight England play Iceland - The fairytale team. How many times have you heard about the size of their population, the feel-good nature of their team and who can forget that commentator when they scored in the last minute? As the kids say, "Scenes."
But England are going HATE playing against them.
Deep lying defences

The hardest part of this is the penetration - Against Russia, there were 4 defenders PLUS the two sitting midfielders, with the centre-backs barely venturing a few yards away from the 18 yard box they were defending. (Passing networks via @11Tegen11)


Against Wales, the 5-2-2-1/5-3-1-1/3-4-2-1 thing that they play was difficult to break down due to Allen and Ledley dropping to the edge of the 18 yard box to protect Williams, Chester and Davies (the three centrebacks) meaning that the 'good' positions to score (central, around the penalty area) were congested as hell. Moreover, the full-backs were happy to be pinned back to stop the cross - and despite this, England still created some chances, some half chances. Mega deep.


Against Slovakia, England faced a team who didn't really want to play - with a back four who sat deep again, with Slovakia content to play in triangles on both flanks.


In all three of these games, England pressed high, with good ball recoveries in these areas and the players linked up well - But the pass they were looking for in the channels and on the inside space between the 18-yard box/6-yard box was an area which they weren't able to exploit.
And this struggle is why I'm concerned about how England will fare if they don't get a fast start.
Let's take a few things into account;
Iceland haven't exactly been dominant in the games they've played in. They've had under 40% of the touches in the games they've played in - with the highest being 487 touches vs Austria (846) at 36.5% of the touches in the game. Further, they don't exactly shoot much - against Austria they took 11 shots - compare that to 4 against Portugal and 8 against Hungary. Sure, you can argue that they're getting more and more comfortable on the ball, and working it into areas where they can take a shot - But more importantly the trend here is tonight is going to be more of the same in this tournament for England... A well drilled formation who will be hard to break down, and will be happy to not have the ball and break when they can.



Conversion rates is something that England have to be wary of - Having not been able to finish their dinner vs Russia and Slovakia, and using all 5 strikers against Wales, it's not been a shining performances for a team who have often been mentioned with respect to the 'quality' and 'options' they have in this area.
Iceland have been the opposite - a conversion rate of 25% vs Portugal, 12% against Hungary and 18% against Austria - You can infer that when they get their chances, they take them. Cahill, Smalling and Dier will have to be alert - And more so will Joe Hart, who has looked a bit shaky on crosses this season. (I am definitely not a goalkeeping expert, so I'll skim over this part)
Formations
Iceland seem to play a flat 4-4-2, and what's worse, is they play direct football - Truly the Leicester's of this European Championships! Their 'star man' Gylfi Sigurdsson has been occupying a deeper role as a central midfielder, but in reality he has been all action - from the way they seem to play you can see that the 'route one' option is for the goalkeeper to go long and hit their big man - Kolbeinn Sigthorsson, with last minute hero Jon Dadi Bodvarsson the man who's the highest up. The team as a whole seem to enjoy be successful at contesting long balls, with the 2nd highest success rate of aerial duels, second only to (surprisingly?) France.






The right hand side seems to link up often too, with Gunnarson being the link between the midfield and defense. However, though the right hand channel seems to be favoured against Portugal, it doesn't seem the case in the games against Hungary and Austria. In terms of shooting potential, it seems to be largely Sigurdsson and Bodivarsson taking their shots, and the pass accuracy is a 60.9% - The lowest in the tournament. (average positions below)



Teams, Teams, Teams.
England will be content to have the ball, but I feel that England will need someone like Raheem Sterling and Danny Rose on the left, with the Clyne-Lallana link on the right which looked very good against Slovakia. The question comes to midfield; Rooney will inevitably start (he's been calm, assured & gives a scoring option) (God, I sound like a United fan) (But he's not _completely_ awful, and still has ), but who alongside him? This all depends on who's up front.. If Sturridge continues then Henderson should surely get the nod. Secondly, starting Henderson or even Milner gives a) legs in midfield (to support Dier on the inevitable long ball counter attacks) but also the 'Liverpool' flank on the right. These club relationships will be vital in the coming rounds, I think; and b) that Dele Alli is a great option off the bench - Whilst, lets be honest, bringing on Henderson or Milner is hardly a substitution which strikes fear in the opposition hearts, and will rarely excite any crowd at Anfield, let alone at the Euros.
I envisage Roy's team may bring in one of Milner and Henderson to sit with Rooney and Dier, Sterling will return on the left and Clyne will take Walker's spot. With Lallana and Milner playing, there's (again) potential for England to change formations from 4-1-2-3 to 4-1-2-1-2 or even 4-2-3-1 - However, I given the doubts about Lallana's fitness, I wouldn't be surprised to see a front three of Kane, Sturridge and Sterling - With Sterling offering the option to play as a #10.
And this is what I like about this England team - There's a dynamism that hasn't existed before. And as long as they can get a fast start to get Iceland to come at them, I envisage a good game for England. My only concern remains Hodgson's game and player management - As to who comes on for who and when... Especially if England are being frustrated again up till the 60th minute mark.
Conclusions
On paper, this should be a very routine win - The Icelandic players will be hungry, and excited but will be told to play their disciplined compact game and play to their strengths. Key for England is to be dynamic through the game, change systems and re-capture the fantastic movement we have seen by them in glimpses in this tournament. And for me, getting an early (0-25 minutes) goal is *vital*. It means Iceland have to come out and meet England, England can drop into a passing rhythm - But protecting the lead means discipline, which is where the experience of Cahill and the quality of Dier hopefully will shine through. England should be hungry - They've had two extra days off because they didn't top the group, to rest, prepare, train and develop. As @unfitforpurpose mentioned on Twitter - the bizarre thing is, the players seem calm and aware of their skills, whilst it's the fans and media who are whipping up a frenzy.
As I've bleated on throughout, this could be the tournament where England actually manage the tournament, than trying to get off to a fast start - the momentum is definitely building.
Now is the time to make it count.
Sunday, 12 June 2016
England vs. Russia | It wasn't that bad..
Anonymous
08:00
analytics, england, football, soccer
No comments

This is possibly the best England team I've seen.* *I emphasise the word team here. Lots of caveats to this statement such as 'in parts', 'team performance', 'cohesion', 'understanding' etc. It's a sensationalist statement to draw you in. I think. I hope.
The first major England tournament I remember is World Cup 2002. The final was on my birthday, and England were knocked out by Ronaldinho looping it over Seaman. I still don't think he meant it. I've gotten excited by the prospect, but I don't recall seeing England play this well at a finals. Perhaps I appreciate the game more. Perhaps, as one passionate tweeter suggested yesterday, I'm blind. But I actually believe this.
England kicked off their campaign yesterday with what I would call an 'encouraging draw'. Pundits, however, would probably call it 'a draw which feels more like a loss'. In my eyes, England have been slammed in the past for not understanding tournament football - and that's where the small irk about potentially poor game management vs. Russia comes in. However, that said, a slow start is never a bad thing. Tournament football in it's nature is a game-by-game thing. It really depends on how the lessons from Marseille are learned, built upon and improved.
Let's start with something great; I loved this move by England; the movement and fluidity between the players in white is great, and (admittedly helped by poor Russian positioning), the right hand side was very fruitful.
The full-backs were fantasticThis is so quality from England. Vertical pass to switch to an advanced wide area, then a third-man run combination. pic.twitter.com/qVmrG1uwx5
— István Beregi (@szteveo) June 12, 2016
In the first half - England were really, really good. I almost typed sensational, but I was lambasted on Twitter for enjoying England's overall performance last night, so I'll keep the tone lower. The fact was, they pressed well, the full-backs - across the entire game for me - were sensational going forward. In Kyle Walker, we're finally seeing a player with the pace, power and dribbling nous to get ahead on the over- and under-lap to cut back for one of the central players to shoot. The pass to Rooney was one of a few times I can remember a full-back for England getting past his man, and asking questions of the masses of Russians in the middle of the box. And then we have Danny Rose - The drill across the 6-yard box was begging for Kane or Alli to surge past any man who stood in their way to nick something onto it.
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Credits for David Sumpter of Soccermatics - Check out his book! |
As you can see above in the graphic by David Sumpter, the passing frequency between Rose, Dier and Rooney is immediately striking, as is the average position of Walker - he was such a pivotal outlet on the right hand side.
Can't win games unless you finish your dinner
The Wales game earlier in the day highlighted that the most scrappy goals can be the most important - And for all their dominance and wonderful display, England could not find that level of scrappy-ness in the first half to force the Russians out of their shell. Look at this average position map - Russia effectively had 6 across the back line 3 or 4 times in the first half, with the full backs really pinning the wide men back. My favourite part was the trust Walker and Rose had in Dier, Smalling and Cahill to be alert to any counter attack. The role of Dier, as highlighted below, cannot be forgotten.

I'd let Eric Dier protect me and my family
Admittedly, that's a bit far and quite superlative, but my point is thus. The role that Dier played last night was immense. Apart from the outrageous free-kick he struck with absolute beauty, he had a dominant performance. Playing the role of passing recycler, he finished the game with 81 touches of which were 68 passes and a passing accuracy of 89.7% (61/68 completed)
And hey. While we're on the subject, lets talk about the passing ability of that England line-up. An average passing accuracy of 82.9% - And that's excluding Hart (60.7%). A long way from "conservative" "long ball Woy" I have heard in the past.
Did Rooney tire after 50 or so minutes?
The decision to substitute Rooney was blasted after the result. "Why sub the captain" people cried (of course, these same people wanted Rooney no where near the starting eleven before the game kicked off) "He's been terrific tonight" they cried. But was there something missing from the latter end of his performance? Let's have a look at his touchmaps. I've spit it into 20 minute chunks.

So perhaps there isn't *really* anything to be said about that apart from the eye test. After having a look at this, I got to thinking. How did the 'touches' that each team took change at each stage? From the narratives, England bossed the first half, had a poor start to the second, a solid middle, and a bad end. Does that story follow?

Yeah - It seems like the goal was coming. Russia took it upon themselves to dominate the game, whilst the in the first half an hour, looked to take the game to Russia. It's just a shame that pure clear cut chances weren't created.
A slice more of context? Why not.

You can actually see the blue dots (Russia) growing more dominant, especially down their right, England's left. Something to be wary of, perhaps. But that first 0-15 minutes. Wow. England actually dominated.
Game management - What to do to 'see it out'?
Much was made of Roy Hodgson's substitutions. Many didn't rate Kane, Raheem or Lallana in the second half (perhaps they have a point, perhaps not) and admittedly, it might have made sense to bring on J*mie V*rdy to run at the centre-backs of Russia. Who, actually, I thought had a very good game. Both of them knew their strengths and weaknesses, and were rarely drawn out of position by the England attack (apart from perhaps *that* Rooney chance which Akinfeev saved magnificently). I felt like they used every single year of their experience to their benefit to keep England out of the 6 yard box. Which worked really well (see Michael Caley's ExG map below; larger dots, clearer cut chances, the rough sum being rough sum of the probability of goals England coulda shoulda woulda scored from the shots they took etc)

Back to substitions, the name James Milner screams calm, effective, conservative play, and perhaps he should have replaced Raheem Sterling earlier - Or even Rooney, if it was inevitable that Rooney was coming off. The fact that Rose likes to marauder forward to great effect means having someone like Milner who runs tirelessly all game can help the foil - But you lose the direct running of Sterling (though, his ability to pass early, or shoot at the right time will be one of the first things that Pep sorts out. I hope!)
Conclusions, and Wales.
The best part for me is that England could have been carried away by one brilliant game had they won comprehensively. This allows the squad to experience and learn from their mistakes. No doubt the backroom team will have each player assess their own performance and I am almost certain that we will see a very different England. Because of poor performance? Because of the frailties we saw?
No. I feel like Roy actually has been smart about this and will change the team and system depending on the opposition he is facing. Analysts must have watched footage and understood how Wales and Slovakia play. The Welsh game is fascinating for two reasons; first, to see how each team reacts; and second, because of the 5-3-1-1/3-4-2-1 formation thing that Coleman has them playing. The flanks and middle will be overloaded, and Wales will also look to sit and hit on the counter. The amount of long balls that Wales hit (84) is the highest of the tournament so far (not including the games today [Sunday 12th])
So, yeah. I felt OK after last night. Nothing from the chances England had screamed WE WOZ ROBBED to me, and I can understand that the goal was unlucky. However, 1 point is better than 0, and I honestly believe that this young squad played some scintillating football last night in periods - Just were lacking that final spark.
My message to the wonderful folk who have got to the bottom of this? Keep your Spurs & Leicester biases at home, take these 23 players at their merit and enjoy the spectacle. There's some great football to be watched if you stop tutting when England fail to cross into the box early. Watch the movement, the direction of play & the cohesion + players understanding each other shone through across the team. Last night was a good start, and there's so much to improve, I feel genuinely excited.
Finally, England actually played well in a game at a tournament - I can't wait to see what's next.
Monday, 6 June 2016
Consistent. Clear. Engaging - Data Visualisations Style guide; an Introduction
Anonymous
12:51
data viz, style guide, visualisation
No comments
These are some of the most marketable brands, and they rely on small visual cues, colours and associations within our (the consumer's) mind to ensure that we think and recognise their individual brand. For instance, if the M was a different font, would you recognise it? If the poignant buttons on the PlayStation controller weren't coloured, how much longer would it take to know that it's an advert for the console?
What does this mean?
The idea for this blog series came when I was with a client, and noted that they had countless templates, shortcuts and 'best practices' when it came to presentation design - that is, in MS PowerPoint.
For the left hand side chart, the colour scheme, faded background and font indicate that this is a visualisation by the Financial Times.
On the right, the subtle colour, the little red box in the top left and the manner of annotations suggest to me that this is a visual by the Economist.
Friday, 3 June 2016
#FastFriday - Number 2
Anonymous
22:51
#FastFriday, education, rank, tableau, video, visualisation
No comments
I did end up spending the last minute or two lamenting my approach to groups, while absentmindedly adding a title and doing some formatting things.
Friday, 27 May 2016
#FastFriday - Number 1
Anonymous
18:00
#FastFriday, tableau, tableau shuffle, video, visualisation
No comments
TIME: 6m 21s
Processing the field names was interesting, because in the time-pressured state, you have to really be careful what you're building, and how the story will layout. The scattergun approach to data-viz where you conceptulise then create all gets jumbled into one slick process. I say slick. I mean more like Kermit the Frog running around on stage with his arms in the air.
Google Data Studio - First thoughts
Anonymous
08:54
data studio, google, review, visualisation
No comments
- Analytics 360
- Tag Manager 360
- Optimize 360 (also in beta)
- Attribution 360
- Audience Centre (also in beta)
Data Studio's goal is to 'help you accomplish the three primary tasks you need to create beautiful reports that tell beautiful stories with your data'
Thursday, 19 May 2016
Creating a Soundwave Chart in Tableau
Anonymous
13:25
basketball, buckets, how to, nba, shot chart, shot frequency, steph curry, tableau, video, visualisation
No comments
And added a viz at the bottom!
I use sports data a lot - I understand it intuitively and always have more questions I want to ask of it and find out more. So you could say I think about it fairly frequently, even if it's a subconscious thing.
Such an event occured this morning as I was walking to work from Liverpool Street station. One of the visualisations I'd created yesterday took two different line charts and filled the space in between. It was a crude solution, but it worked and it got me thinking... Remember the shot worm (see below)? Could I recreate something like that in Tableau?
This is from Peter Beshai's awesome interactive dashboard 'Buckets' |
Long story short, I did a mini-makeover of my own effort, and ended up with the below.
NB; it's very crude, I didn't update the headers or annotations or anything.. I even moved Steph across in Paint.
How was this done? Check out the short video below.
Friday, 13 May 2016
13th of May '15 | One of the best days of my life
Anonymous
08:30
about me, tableau
No comments
The 13th of May 2015 was perhaps one of the best days of my life so far. And a lot of it I think has to do with luck and opportunity.
Click! |
- The years are along the y-axis (I honestly have no idea why I did this)
- There's clear red-green colourblindness issues
- The stacked bar is kinda hideous
The Dilemma
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The first from my lecturer and personal tutor, who asks how the interview went and informs me of my final coursework grade - 89%! I was dumbfounded - I didn't expect that! |
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The second, an automated one - telling me my dissertation is ready for collection - and I was overjoyed with my result of 69.1% |
And finally, the pièce de résistance - A call from Andy offering my a job. Incredible scenes. My feelings are fairly accurately depicted in the above .gif |
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Click! |